I don't know why but I just keep thinking about one of our Professors’ statement for months and the statement is “The China banking system which supposed to be the worse of the kind before the Credit Crunch seemed to become the strongest and safest one suddenly right after the crisis!”
Firstly, I am asking myself if I agreed with the statement. Well, from system-wise point of view, the answer is definitely NO! Hey, don't you remember around a decade ago, we were discussing about the NPLs ratio in the China banking system? It is still the argument that goes against the recent credit extension. However, from what we observed in reality so far (ever since the occurrence of credit crunch), the answer is probably YES, but why?
Provided that there is no change in the system flow nor the process, I cannot explain it from the angle of system improvement or value-added process in the banking system.
As again, there is no change in the management culture or style behind the scene, I don't agree neither that the reliance on kinsmanship, guanxi or family connections which are the stereotypes of the Chinese or Asian management style is the underlying stabilizer, hence where is the clue?
In my opinion, it is the ideology that backup the banking system. Under the state of socialism with Chinese characteristics, the banking explicit system itself was constructed in western style, the implicit management ideology behind is purely Chinese. Hence, the China Banking System itself cannot be solely explained according to the western management theory. Say for example, Policy Bank in China (China Development Bank, Export-Import Bank of China and Agricultural Development Bank of China), which is alien in the free market society, is working on projects that aimed for maximizing social utility in the long run rather than tracing the short term profit gains so as to keep them where they are. With fundamental differences in aims/objectives, it is not difficult to explain the differences in the outcomes.
There maybe black swans but most banks in China were not behaved much in the same way as those banks in the west except the outlook. Even they did eat up toxic assets; they did it in a comparatively more prudent way than their rivals in the rest of the world. Hence, they are comparatively saved from the crisis this time. With lesser toxic assets, it is understandable why China Banking System suddenly became stronger and healthier after the crisis in a comparative sense.